Category Archives: International Relations

贝一明 (Emanuel Pastreich)教授所遭遇的一切

贝一明 (Emanuel Pastreich)教授所遭遇的一切

2000年4月,贝一明 (Emanuel Pastreich)在偶然的机缘之下前往伊利诺伊大学,参加了一场在那里召开的新兴在线学习技术展示会,并被任命为该校的助理教授。他认为远程学习技术可以让自己同远在亚洲的学术同仁紧密合作,因此而欢欣鼓舞,开始在这一领域献计献策。几周之后,他提出了自己的建议:让伊利诺伊大学和东京大学、首尔国立大学和北京大学等东亚地区的几所顶尖研究机构共享在线课程、进行共同研究、开展机构层面的合作。尽管上述亚洲院校很可能无法与伊利诺伊大学建立亲密无间的关系,但该提议颇具新意,而且伊利诺伊大学的远程学习技术十分先进,因此贝一明先生决定全心全意地投身于这一项目之中。

贝一明先生通过多年的学习掌握了汉语、日语和韩语,同时同中、日、韩三国主要院校的高级领导层均有私交,这些有利条件使得他能够迅速推进自己的计划。

2000年6月,贝一明先生根据各个院校的具体需要和关注以中、日、韩三国语言准备了复杂完备的提案。当时他已经在伊利诺伊大学和伊利诺伊大学厄巴纳-尚佩恩分校培养了一大批支持者,从工程学院、法学院到农学院和商学院,到处都有他的拥趸。这些院系为他提供了十分充足的资金,让他前往亚洲与相关方面讨论上述提议、从秋季开始通过一系列网络研讨会来推进计划。

然而就在这时,该项目出现了严重的问题。贝一明先生所在大学的东亚语言文化学院部门领导和文学院院长忽然拒绝为他的亚洲之行提供资助;在六月份之后,他们甚至对贝一明先生的提议闭口不谈——要知道,他们曾经是贝一明先生有力的后盾。他们此时的抵触情绪简直毫无来由。

尽管如此,贝一明先生还是筹足资金,于七月先后前往韩国、中国和日本。他的提案在三个国家的主要院校受到了热烈的欢迎。首尔国立大学最为热情高涨,北京大学与东京大学紧随其后。

随后,贝一明先生回到了伊利诺伊大学。他以为自己能够因为项目大获成功而受到英雄的礼遇,同时也期望着同学校上层讨论如何进一步推进这一远程学习项目。但是他发现大学的院系负责人在校报的采访中对他的三国之旅横加指责。除此之外,系领导甚至不愿意同归来的贝一明先生就上述项目当面交谈。

贝一明先生的提案原本得到了整个伊利诺伊大学和三所顶尖亚洲院校的拥护,如今伊利诺伊大学东亚研究院却对其嗤之以鼻,这实在荒唐至极。在这一切的背后一定隐藏着巨大的秘密。

起初,贝一明先生认为院系领导要么是嫉妒工程学院的影响力——因为该学院会在远程学习项目中起主导作用,要么不愿意让资历较浅的教授大受关注。可是对方似乎并非如此狭隘之人,这样的理由实在让人难以信服。

真相是贝一明先生在无意之中被卷入了一场斗争,斗争的各方远远超出了他的接触范围。是美国联邦调查局和中央情报局的工作组针对贝一明先生的系领导采取了非法的秘密行动,令其阻挠远程学习项目的开展,而这一切与该领导的个人意愿毫无关联。

他们在极为反常的情况之下采取了这次行动,其目的是让贝一明先生的提案无果而终,且在有必要时毁掉贝一明先生的事业,以确保提案中同美国与亚洲之间学术合作相关的创意和倡议永不见天日。

贝一明先生的提案中不仅有网络学习方面的建议,而且还包括朝鲜半岛统一、中美关系改善等地缘政治问题的全面解决方案,这些方案已经引起了相关亚洲国家政策制定者的共鸣。该提案的汉语、日语及汉语版本已经在中、日、韩三国得到了广泛的传播。

然而对于美国的某些政客和军方策划者而言,提案中的某些建议对他们构成了巨大的威胁。当时正值克林顿试图将美朝关系正常化,而那些人却决意不择手段地让各方面认为朝鲜是美国的敌人,中国是美国的潜在敌手,永远不可能成为美国可靠的伙伴。

他们认为,为了保持美国在亚洲的军事存在、维持美国与其东亚盟友之间的主从关系,采取上述措施确有必要,否则数十亿美元便会危在旦夕。

于是美国联邦调查局和中央情报局(或许还有美国国家安全局参与在内)联合派出了秘密工作组,从四月份开始在暗中破坏贝一明先生全力推进的项目。

军工企业(而非良知尚存的现役军队)中的强大势力无法令项目戛然而止,因为贝一明先生的提案让人眼前一亮,而且或许可以带来丰厚利润(远程学习即将成为价值数十亿美元的产业),韩国、日本和中国的相关组织已经采取了其中所列出的初步步骤,美国政府机关几乎无计可施。

然而随着时间的推移,尽管困难重重,上述工作组还是找到了摧毁提案的方法。

自从2000年8月起,校内职工与各位领导便接到了工作组的明确指令,通过直接或间接方式与贝一明先生保持距离。他们甚至命令贝一明先生的院系领导采取一系列步骤来离间贝一明先生及其同事。随着五角大楼内部支持与反对与朝和解的两派人争斗得难分难解,贝一明先生也吸引了华府的关注。当时他对这一切茫然无知。

2000年12月,军方的右翼势力在灾难性的大选中掌权后,局势变得险恶无比。这一切与贝一明先生的努力不无关系,针对贝一明先生的种种行动开始不断升级。

伊利诺伊大学中,几乎没有人愿意同贝一明先生会面交谈。

布什政府任命极端分子在军队与情报机构中担任要职之后,他们便做好了对贝一明先生采取极端措施,以此来警告政府与学术圈内其他“顽固派系”的准备。

他们只是在伺机而动。

2001年2月24日,中华读书报刊登了一篇由贝一明先生撰写、呼吁在东北亚建立全新和平格局的文章。他们等待的时机终于到来了。这一世界共同体方面的愿景以中美伙伴关系为基础,却成为了“中国威胁论”游说团体的最后一根稻草。他们下令让贝一明先生立即“自杀”。尽管据说该命令的发布人是乔治·W·布什,但布什本人与贝一明先生并无私仇——除了回应军工联合派系势力,他别无选择。

倘若没有科林·鲍威尔等人的积极抗争,贝一明先生必死无疑。随后,意欲致贝一明先生于死地的各方终于做出妥协,转而在四年的时间里让贝一明先生不断地受到死亡威胁与“不甚严重”的骚扰,同时也使他永远无法继续开展自己的事业,以儆效尤。

贝一明先生的父亲听说儿子罹患精神疾病,特意于二月前来探望。在他们的哄骗之下,这位父亲相信自己的儿子在几年前接受了脑部肿瘤切除手术,现在他所陈述的一切都是妄语,是脑肿瘤后遗症发作的表现。他们专门为贝一明先生的亲友精心编造了一则弥天大谎。

在父亲到来之后,贝一明先生被强行送到了医院,并且在没有经过任何医学检验的情况之下被判患有精神疾病。在那里,他被迫接受各种毫无意义的治疗,其中包括服用未经医疗评估的抗精神病药物。

在贝一明先生与受命治疗他的精神医生会面的过程中发生了一件有趣的事。这位医生对贝一明先生的健康情况并不在意,却频频向他询问对美国安全局势的未来有何看法,甚至想要读一读贝一明先生阐述自己观点的文章。

就这样,医患对话的内容逐渐被地缘政治方面的简短讨论所代替,而后又拓展至如何应对布什政权的极权统治等话题。2001年4月,贝一明先生就怎样恢复美国法治提出了建议。从很多方面来看,此时的他已经成为了布什政权反对意见的具象,反抗当局的力量已然围绕着他组织起来。这一团体在逐渐收回控制权方面起到了重要作用,而且准备在2001年9月开展进一步行动。

贝一明先生并不知道自己在向何人表述观点,但他的确得到了同重要人物交谈的机会——尽管这样的机会并不多。不过在大多数情况之下,他仍然同大学师生乃至其他美国国民处于完全隔绝的状态。

此时的贝一明先生所处的境地相当怪异:他遭受软禁,且不断受到死亡威胁,可与此同时,在美国的内外政策中,他又是举足轻重的人物。

从2001年2月到2002年夏天,贝一明先生都在因为“患有精神疾病”休病假。2002年4月,他终于被给予了更大的自由——尽管当时愿意跟他见面的人寥寥无几。

2003年,“失去劳动能力”十八个月的贝一明先生获准再度任教。2004年,他再次获得了争取终身教职的机会。

2003年,贝一明先生得到机遇做了几场演讲。2004年,他甚至获批去日本开展两个月的调查研究。照此看来,他的事业似乎正在重回正轨。

然而2004年腐败多的美国大选将许多贝一明先生的支持者驱赶到了政府之外。尽管贝一明先生已不再受到死亡威胁,但颇有资历的他却未能获得终身教职,并且于2004年12月被伊利诺伊大学解雇。

此后,贝一明先生提交了几百份工作申请,他的目标包括许多高等院校的教职、地方大学的兼职岗位、企业内的其他职务,以及与亚洲合作的非政府组织内的职位,可是他连一次面试机会都没有获得。在大多数情况之下,他发出的申请都犹如石沉大海,毫无回应。

只有一个例外。

有信函通知他可以担任中央情报局内的情报人员。

这份或许并不郑重的通知之所以被发出,可能是因为中央情报局是美国境内唯一一个有能力与布什政权相抗衡的组织。它足以让贝一明先生下定决心迁往华盛顿特区。他想,那里的就业机会应该比伊利诺伊州更多更好。

到达华盛顿之后,他花费了两个月的时间求职,但一无所获,而且中央情报局的那份录取通知也不出意外地作废了。他只好将家人送到韩国同姻亲共同居住,自己则跟一位表亲挤在一个小房间中。

2005年2月,贝一明先生在颇感意外的情况下受邀前往国会发表演讲。随后一名韩国大使馆的外交人员和一位韩国记者找到他,表示他们可以争取说服新任韩国驻美大使聘用他。

于是贝一明先生在韩国驻美大使馆得到了一份工资不高的工作——按照法律规定,那里并不是美国领土,就这样在华盛顿特区生活了两年。

最后,美国已经没有他的立足之地。2007年,他同意在韩国的一所小型高校内任教。

经历过艰难的起步之后,贝一明先生终于重拾学者身份,并于2011年得以前往当地更为著名的庆熙大学工作,但并未获得终身教职。他更喜欢为广大读者撰写书籍、在报纸上发表文章。在从2014年到2016年的这段时间内,他在韩国大获成功,却从来没有得到过美国方面的认可,也未曾收到过任何参会邀请。他偶尔会申请美国的工作岗位,但从未接到回音。

2018年,贝一明先生明白庆熙大学不会授予他终身教职,于是改在韩国较小的一所高校内工作。从2019年起,他开始计划返回华盛顿,以满足家人的愿望。

2019年夏季,他成功归国,但韩国大使馆和韩国经济研究所提供的工作并不足以让他在物价高昂的北弗吉尼亚生活。

新冠疫情开始后,他的情况更是雪上加霜。他与韩国大使馆的合约被作废,他再度陷入失业状态。在那两个月,对他而言,连做翻译的机会都无处可寻。

他无计可施,被迫回到首尔——至少在那里还有一点点就业的希望。整整五个月过后,他才重新有了收入。

在这段时间里,贝一明先生被迫同妻子和孩子分居两地,深陷债务。

2020年2月,身在华盛顿的贝一明先生宣布以独立参选人的身份参加美国总统大选,以回应自己再次遭受的、极为残酷的政治迫害。

他感觉如果想要求得生存,除了兵行险着、出其不意,别无他法。

在闲暇时间里,贝一明先生撰写演讲稿,发表演说,为美国经济与安保政策的革命性转变拟出了框架。

尽管贝一明先生的竞选活动同他所开展的大多数活动一样,被美国秘不示人的法律和警告所禁止,但他还是通过努力成为了韩国媒体乃至越南媒体报道的对象——尽管后者对他的关注度并不是很高。他精心打造的十五篇演讲稿为认真阅读过它们的美国人民留下了深刻的印象。

后来一本以这些演讲稿为主要内容的书终于问世,其韩文版本和西班牙语版本已在首尔和墨西哥城出版,日语、汉语与越南语版本也已发布。

随后贝一明先生继续撰写演讲稿,同时为唯一愿意发布其文章、拥护者众多的组织——全球研究(Global Research)撰稿。

他耗尽积蓄,将自己的书翻译成德语、土耳其语、法语、波斯语、波兰语、罗马尼亚语、俄语等版本,并为自己的竞选活动开设了一个精致实用的网站——pastreichprez.com。该网站得到了来自世界各地的关注。

乔·拜登颇具争议地当选之后,一篇不偏不倚、为唐纳德·特朗普辩护的文章出自贝一明先生之手,为其作者赢得了更加广泛的支持者。

2021年3月,贝一明先生开始以前所未有的严肃态度推进自己的竞选活动。在2000年与2001年,他曾为维护美国的领导力树立争取亚洲地区支持的愿景并为之而战,如今他又在为美利坚合众国的未来付出前所未有的努力,开展全球性运动——这二者之间有着某种奇妙的关联。

2021年,企业法西斯主义在整个世界大行其道,因此尽管他的书和演讲稿得到了广泛阅读,但他的建议几乎无人采纳。四月,他着手在韩国组建以统一朝鲜半岛为宗旨的国际革命党——这一行动在2021年9月,在他几经沉浮之后,成为了他主要的事业。此外,他还提出了建立美国临时政府的建议。

在整整二十年中,没有一个人为贝一明先生挺身而出,呼吁各方面公开讨论他在美国所遭遇的一切,更不必说要求政府开展调查。不懈呐喊的,只有贝一明先生自己。

Emanuel’s forthcoming book “I shall fear no evil”

Here is the tentative cover for my new book outlining my policy proposals and my vision for the future of the United States.

The dawn of the age of “psychopathocracy”

I am not a political scientist, but I felt compelled to coin a new term to describe the new form of governance we see emerging around the world.

I refer to this model as “psychopathocracy” a term which describes the rule by psychopaths, those who are mentally unstable in a sense that strips them of their humanity and makes them incapable of determining what is in their own interests, or in the interests of others.

Goya

This state often features paranoid obsessions.

When Donald Trump’s National Paranoia Advisor John Bolton spoke with Martha Raddatz  of ABC News and stated that he was convinced that not only Russia, but Iran, China and North Korea would meddle in the Midterm Election, he was giving voice to precisely such paranoid views (granted their political value to him).

Bolton stated,

“I can say definitively that it’s a sufficient national security concern about [in addition to Russia] Chinese meddling, Iranian meddling and North Korean meddling [in the coming election] that we’re taking steps to try to prevent it, so it’s all four of those countries, really. I’m not going to get into the – what I’ve seen or haven’t seen, but I’m telling you, looking at the 2018 election, those are the four countries that we’re most concerned about.”

We have to wonder whether that election will ever take place.

 

I also want to mention Thomas Mann’s insight:

“The insipid is not synonymous with the harmless”

Mann suggests that many mistakenly assume that because the actions of certain people are foolish, dreary and banal they are therefore of little consequence. But as Mann learned in Germany of the 1930s, the banality of political discourse has nothing to do with its potency, or with its destructiveness.

 

Aju Business Daily “Korea faces daunting array of security problems” May 9, 2017

Aju Business Daily

“Korea faces daunting array of security problems”

May 9, 2017

Emanuel Pastreich

 

The Korean peninsula faces a daunting array of security problems that will require tremendous efforts, especially long term, to overcome. The primary problem is not the threats themselves, however, but rather the complete inability of Koreans to conceive of those threats, or to respond to them in any meaningful manner.

The problem is true for those of both progressive and conservative political orientations. There is a very little concept of how serious a security challenge the collapse of the ecosystem or the rising inequality in Korean, and East Asian, society is becoming. In fact, even extremely liberal groups do not offer any opinions on the problems of industrialized society or the privatization of banks — issues that would have been taken quite seriously by even conservatives back in the 1950s.

A consumption- driven culture has taken over Korea for the last twenty years, a culture in which the immediate satisfaction of the individual through the eating, drinking or watching of things that give a short-term thrill is held up as an ideal. The media in Korea is today run for profit and faithfully generates fantastic myths about what “security” means that have more to do with video games than reality. Read more of this post

“The Role of the New Administration in promoting Peace on the Korean Peninsula” with Stephen Costello

Friday, May 12 3 PM

Francisco Education Hall (Jeongdong-gil 9)

Room 410

프란치스코 교육회관 410

서울특별시 중구 정동길 9

 

Stephen Costello

President of ProGlobal Consulting and Host of AsiaEast

 “The Role of the New Administration in promoting Peace on the Korean Peninsula”

costello talk

 

STEPHEN COSTELLO is a policy analyst with 20 years of experience in Korea and Northeast Asia as political consultant, policy analyst, think tank program director, and tech-sector business consultant.  Mr. Costello specializes in policy and politics in Korea and Northeast Asia as well as US policy and policy-making toward the region.

A few words about Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, candidate for WHO Director-general



 

A few words about Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus

My former student at Kyung Hee University, Meaza Gidey, one of the most thoughtful young activists that I have met in recent years, recently took the time to explain to me a bit about Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, candidate for director-general of WHO (World Health Organization) from Ethiopia.

I had a chance to read a bit about Ghebreyesus, including his lucid statement about his role, and was sufficiently impressed that I thought I would share what I learned.

 

 

Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus

Statement:

 

“The scientific, technological and social progress over the last century has lifted hundreds of millions of people out of poverty. The World Health Organization (WHO) has played a crucial role in this progress – achieving major milestones including eradicating smallpox and bringing polio eradication within reach. During the Millennium Development Goal era, WHO also drove tremendous progress towards combatting HIV, tuberculosis and malaria, and reducing maternal, child and infant mortality. It enacted the Framework Convention on Tobacco Control. Thanks to the actions of WHO, more people are living longer, healthier lives than ever before.

However, we live in a changing world, and WHO must be able to change with it. For all the progress we have made and improvements we have witnessed, daunting challenges – new and old – lie ahead. Climate and environmental change pose new threats. Unhealthy lifestyles are giving rise to non-communicable diseases that imperil public health. Globalisation has made it easy for infectious disease pathogens to spark pandemics that threaten lives and economic security. Antimicrobial resistance is threatening our ability to effectively treat common diseases and infections, and widespread population movements, global trade and inequities in access to basic health care and social protection are leading to complex global health challenges.

I envision a world in which everyone can lead healthy and productive lives, regardless of who they are or where they live. I believe the global commitment to sustainable development – enshrined in the Sustainable Development Goals – offers a unique opportunity to address the social, economic and political determinants of health and improve the health and wellbeing of people everywhere.

Achieving this vision will require a strong, effective WHO that is able to meet emerging challenges and achieve the health objectives of the Sustainable Development Goals. It will require revitalised WHO leadership that combines the public health, diplomatic and political expertise needed to address the most pressing challenges of our time.”

 

 

Description:

 

visionary leader, he guided Ethiopia and numerous global health organizations to achieve game-changing results and increase their impact. An experienced reformer, he transformed Ethiopia’s health system to expand quality care and access to tens of millions of Ethiopians, and helped key global actors like The Global Fund and the Roll Back Malaria Partnership operate with greater efficiency and effectiveness. And, a skilled diplomat, his collaborative, context-specific, and solutions-oriented approach to global health and international relations is respected worldwide.

Our world has changed. Today, we face unprecedented health threats – from pandemics, to antibiotic-resistant infections, to climate change.  We need a strong and effective World Health Organization to meet these challenges.  As Director-General, Dr. Tedros’ vision, collaborative approach and proven effectiveness will help WHO better protect the health of all people.

 

 

Cooperation in the Future of East Asian Security (April 12 TAI Seminar)

 

1AI logo small

The Asia Institute

&

The Tomorrow

Present

 

Wed, April 12, 2017

5-6 PM

 

 

Cooperation in the Future of East Asian Security

How the United States can work together with Korea, Japan & China

 

Opening Remarks:

Rei-Kyung Lee

Chairman

The Tomorrow

Presentation:

Emanuel Pastreich

Director

The Asia Institute

 

Response:

Lee Jong-heon 

Deputy Secretary General

Trilateral Cooperation Secretariat 

 

Although the media is full of reports about increasing tensions in East Asia, the rapid development of technology and the impact of climate change is such that there is increasingly a need for global cooperation in security especially in the fields of non-traditional security. This seminar brings together a group of experts and world citizens to discuss how the United States and Korea can cooperate with China and Japan to respond to new security challenges such as cyber attacks, drones, organized crime, immigration challenges, spreading deserts, and other risks related to the onset of climate change. The seminar will also touch on the possible uses for an East Asian arms control treaty and other general agreements on emerging technologies.  


Sookmyung Women’s University

Centennial Hall

608 CENTENNIAL HALL

 

 

 

 

 

 

“Has the Conservative Party in South Korea Lost its Grip on Power?” Emanuel @ The Real News

The Real News

March 16, 2017

“Has the Conservative Party in South Korea Lost its Grip on Power?”

 

Jaisal Noor Interviews

Emanuel Pastreich

 

South Korea Conservatives

 

South Korea is continuing to feel the aftershocks of the impeachment and ouster of its conservative president, which followed months of protest after she was implicated in corruption. On Wednesday, South Korea’s prosecutor summoned former conservative President Park for questioning in the country’s far-reaching bribery scandal.

All this comes at a time when tensions are escalating between North and South Korea and the United States. South Korea, under pressure from the U.S., agreed to deploy the controversial THAAD missile defense system and is carrying out joint operations, which includes hundreds of thousands of troops with the United States. This prompted Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Ye to question, quote, “If the two sides — referring to the U.S. and North Korea — are really ready for a head-on collision.”

A snap election must be held in two months and the Liberal Party is highly favored. That said, it’s still unknown what other factors may play into the process.

 

INTER: Describe what the scene is right now, because on the one hand, you have domestic instability in South Korea, there’s going to be a new president elected within two months. At the same time, things are… some have described it as the worst situation between North Korea and the United States and South Korea in some time now. What does it feel like to be there? Describe the mood and the scene there.

EMANUEL PASTREICH: Well, I think, of course, the protests have died down and people are back to work. So, it is normal in that respect. However, these two aspects, both the increasing tensions with North Korea, and also combined with U.S. relations with China, which have of course become much worse under the Trump administration. And China has responded by limiting economic business interactions with South Korea, which has had a tremendous impact on the economy. You can see the economy, I think, is being seriously affected now. So, I think there’s a lot of anxiety and concern about what will happen.

There is a little bit of hope that a new president, and may be the end of the 10-year Conservative presidencies in a row, that this might bring some new opportunities. But I think over all, its overshadowed by a certain degree of angst and foreboding concerning the future particularly of the Korean Peninsula, but also that as the Trump administration is increasingly had to take some more bellicose view of China. And has downplayed, I think, the previous efforts to engage and encourage cooperation, that there are deep, deep worries.

INTER: And so, what party does this favor, this instability, favor? Because we’ve seen in many elections around the world instability leads to the rise of the right. And, of course, the right seems to be quite discredited now, although, you know, supporters of Park remain steadfast.

So, I want to ask you: what could the larger geopolitical implications be if there is a liberal or progressive candidate that wins the election coming up?

EMANUEL PASTREICH: Right. Well, Korea, I think, is somewhat different from the United… well, I wouldn’t say it’s different fundamentally, but that there hasn’t been the rise of a charismatic right wing crypto-populist candidate in Korea yet. We don’t see anyone like that. I think Korea as a whole has undergone a very serious issue of superannuated society. One of the most rapidly aging societies in the world, and that support for President Park now – or former President Park is really limited, and primarily with people in their say, over 60, who remember how her father, President Pak Chong-hee, who was a very authoritarian and also charismatic political leader built Korea up, that there’s a certain nostalgia for that.

But I think the odds of a Conservative win — the parties, by the way, in Korea, change rapidly. It’s not like the United States, where we’ve had Republican and Democrats for the last 130 years. But rather… or more – but rather, depending on the election, people will make out new names. But the politicians don’t change. The conservative side seems unlikely to win, but there is a scenario, because there are two large parties. There’s the People’s Party of Ahn Cheol-soo, and then there’s the Minjoo, or Democratic Party, and if both parties run, both field candidates, and they both do well, you have a three-way split, there is an opportunity or a possibility that the conservatives might be able to win a third term.

INTER: And so, you know, to be clear, what would the impact be? What would the result be if there is a hot conflict between North and South Korea? Because we’ve seen these rising tensions — the North Korean missile tests, which are happening. Now there are these joint operations that are happening between South Korea and the U.S. Hundreds of thousands of troops are taking part in that. So, if there is a hot conflict, even with this missile defense system they’re testing now, from what I’ve read it’s only about 50% effective.

So, just for our viewers to understand, what would that impact be?

EMANUEL PASTREICH: Well, I think people are more concerned about it now than they have been previously, in part because the Trump administration is both inexperienced and, unfortunately, unpredictable. Being unpredictable is a positive if you’re in pro-wrestling. But in international relations, and other fields, it’s much better to be predictable.

So, there is an increased risk. I think we don’t know, there have been incidents on the DMZ previously, right? With shootings or the use of artillery. And so, some small contingent incident is possible. But something larger, a bigger conflict, certainly cannot be ruled out. But actually, since we haven’t had one on an enormous scale since the Korean War, doesn’t mean it can’t happen, and there are forces that… I think what’s most worrisome is the United States used to have a much more stable policy.

But we’ve been invading a lot of countries, as you know, recently, so it’s sort of stable architecture of a divided North and South Korea, and a mutually economically engaged United States and China, and a relatively peaceful and not militarily ambitious Japan, that these sort of set factors for the last 50 years are all in play now. None of them are guaranteed as stable.

If there actually was a conflict — I’m not a fortune-teller, so I can’t tell you what would happen — but I think the danger that it would lead to some confrontation including China or that the United States’ response, like THAAD, for example, THAAD of course is not an active attack on North Korea or on China, but it’s very present. It’s perceived as a threatening decision by Beijing.

INTER: And, finally… I’m sorry to interrupt, but we just have a minute left. We wanted to ask you, it’s on a lot of people’s minds. Why impeachment removal of a conservative president in South Korea, but not the United States yet. Talk about the parallels and the differences.

EMANUEL PASTREICH: Well, it’s a fascinating question. And Korea has been relatively transparent, and the Constitutional Court that rendered the ruling, was all made up of appointees by the conservative government. So, I think there was a real responsiveness to the overwhelming anger and outrage among the population. And there were continuous, very well organized demonstrations, peaceful demonstrations. The United States, we hear a lot about impeachment, but the actual process, or the potential, you just don’t really see anything happening, at least that’s my impression.

So, however, the larger geopolitical implications of this shift, because Korea is both divided in North and South, but also conservative, progressive within the country, we still don’t know, and there are some worrisome aspects of this.

 

“Manifesto to the Europeans” and a call for sanity at the outbreak of the First World War

Wilhelm Foerster, Georg Friedrich Nicolai, Otto Buek and Albert Einstein signed a “Manifesto to the Europeans” at the start of World War I in which they took issue with the drive for military solutions promoted in Germany at the time. They were responding to the so-called “Manifesto of the Ninety-Three” issued by prominent German intellectuals giving their full support for Germany’s war aims. These four men were the only ones who dared to sign the document.

Its content seems most relevant in our own age.

 

“Manifesto to the Europeans”

October 1914

 

While technology and traffic clearly drive us toward a factual recognition of international relations, and thus toward a common world civilization, it is also true that no war has ever so intensively interrupted the cultural communalism of cooperative work as this present war does.  Perhaps we have come to such a salient awareness only on account of the numerous erstwhile common bonds, whose interruption we now sense so painfully.

Even if this state of affairs should not surprise us, those whose heart is in the least concerned about common world civilization, would have a doubled obligation to fight for the upholding of those principles. Those, however, of whom one should expect such convictions — that is, principally scientists and artists — have thus far almost exclusively uttered statements which would suggest that their desire for the maintenance of these relations has evaporated concurrently with the interruption of relations. They have spoken with explainable martial spirit — but spoken least of all of peace.

Such a mood cannot be excused by any national passion; it is unworthy of all that which the world has to date understood by the name of culture. Should this mood achieve a certain universality among the educated, this would be a disaster. It would not only be a disaster for civilization, but — and we are firmly convinced of this — a disaster for the national survival of individual states — the very cause for which, ultimately, all this barbarity has been unleashed.

Through technology the world has become smaller; the states of the large peninsula of Europe appear today as close to each other as the cities of each small Mediterranean peninsula appeared in ancient times. In the needs and experiences of every individual, based on his awareness of manifold of relations, Europe — one could almost say the world — already outlines itself as an element of unity.

It would consequently be a duty of the educated and well-meaning Europeans to at least make the attempt to prevent Europe — on account of its deficient organization as a whole — from suffering the same tragic fate as ancient Greece once did. Should Europe too gradually exhaust itself and thus perish from fratricidal war? Read more of this post

“Letter to Ban Ki-Moon from the midst of the gathering darkness” (Kyunghyang Shinmun January 26, 2017)

 Kyunghyang Shinmun

“Letter to Ban Ki-Moon from the midst of the gathering darkness”

January 26, 2017

 

Emanuel Pastreich

I know that many have approached you about the possibility of your serving as president of Korea after the anticipated impeachment of President Park. You have a unique set of skills and a broad range of friends in the international community that would serve you well. Today, you are surrounded by people asking for your help in this moment of tremendous uncertainty in Korea. But I hope that you have a moment to step back from the crowd and contemplate your role in history now that you have become such a critical figure.

There are several people out there who are entirely capable of serving as the president of the Republic of Korea. But there is an even more critical job, and you are the only one who is qualified to play that role as the former Secretary General of the United Nations.

Last week Donald Trump was sworn in as the president of the United States, someone who has openly opposed a commitment to universal standards on human rights and who has taken as a central advisor John Bolton, a man who is committed to taking the entire United Nations system apart. In addition, President Trump has nominated for secretary of state Rex Tillerton,  the former CEO of EXXON, , a man who has no interest in the response to climate change and who has advocated that the United States move to stop all Chinese actions in the South China Seas—an act that many experts think could lead to nuclear war.

The scale of the geopolitical crisis today cannot be overstated and Korea, located at the center of Northeast Asia, with close ties to both the United States and to China, will be one of the first victims of such a new cold war, or hot war. Korea needs you, and your network, to start an entirely original and powerful initiative that will offer an alternative to military conflict, get the focus back to climate change, and set the foundations for long term solution to address this crisis head using a coalition of the committed throughout the region.

Read more of this post