“한반도평화구축을 위한 韓․美․中 시각과 국회의 역할” 국제정책세미나 (2018년 11월 6일 국회의원회관)

对于朝鲜半岛和平构筑的中韩美观点 与国会的角色

国际政策研讨会

한반도평화구축을 위한 시각과 국회의 역할

국제정책세미나

2018 11 6日 星期二 () (9:30-4:30)

국회의원회관

2세미나실

주 최 :

설 훈 최고위원(더불어민주당)

나경원 국회의원(자유한국당)

최경환 최고위원(민주평화당)

하태경 최고위원(바른미래당)

주 관 :

아시아미래지식인포럼

 

 

정책토론회 10:00-12:00

 

 

한반도평화구축을 위한 시각과 국회의 역할

좌 장 :

정세현 전 통일부 장관

 

 

한국측 :

남북한간 지속가능한 협력의 제도화 방안

박명림 연세대학교 김대중도서관 관장, 연세대학교 교수)

 

미국측 : 한반도 평화와 미국의 역할 방향

이만열 [Emanuel Pastreich] 지구경영연구원 원장)

 

중국측 : 한반도평화프로세스와 동아시아 협력의 향방

송성유, 북경대학 교수

 

설 훈 최고위원(더불어민주당)

나경원 국회의원(자유한국당)

최경환 최고위원(민주평화당)

하태경 최고위원(바른미래당)

 

 

2 (라운드테이블) : 2:00-4:00

 

동아시아 평화와 협력을 위한 지식인 네트워크 구축

 

사 회:

임한필 아시아미래지식인포럼 사무총장

 

한국측 :

이희옥 성균관대 중국연구소장)

윤경우 국민대 부총장)

배경임 아시아미래지식인포럼 대표)

홍면기 전 동북아역사재단 실장)

박장배 동북아역사재단 연구위원)

우성민 동북아역사재단 연구위원)

윤은주 평화와통일을위한연대 사무총장)

나흥수 행동하는양심 사무처장)

배현주 한신대 외래교수)

 

아시아미래지식인포럼

 

2018년 4월 27일 남북정상회담과 6월 12일 북미정상회담 이후 다양한 접촉 및 회담이 진행되고 있지만 한국, 미국, 중국의 입장차이가 존재하고 있으며 미․중무역 갈등과 국제 정치환경의 변화 그리고 남한의 정치적 이해관계로 인해 한반도평화구축을 위한 로드맵이 불안정함.

○ 현재 한국, 미국, 중국의 한반도평화구축을 위한 입장과 방향이 무엇인지를 학자, 전문가, 정치인을 통해 들어보고 대한민국 국회의 역할은 무엇인지를 들어보고 향후 함께해나가야 할 방법과 대안은 무엇인지를 모색하고자 한․미․중 정책세미나를 갖고자함.

4.27판문점 선언 이행을 위한 유관국 정책협력을 위한 네트워크를 구축하고, 의의와 보완, 발전 방향을 중심으로 논의하고, 국회비준 문제 등 국회의 역할을 더불어민주당, 자유한국당, 바른미래당, 민주평화당 등의 입장과 향후 협력과제 등을 모색하고 회의의 정례화 및 정책건의 채널을 확보하고자 함.

 

 

“President Moon: It’s time to pardon Park Geun-hye” Asia Times

Asia Times

“President Moon: It’s time to pardon Park Geun-hye”

October 9, 2018

Emanuel Pastreich

 

 

Last week’s sentencing of former South Korean president Lee Myung-bak to 15 years in prison and a fine of 13 billion won (US$11.5 million) has sent shockwaves through Seoul, and around the world.

Although many are shocked to learn of the degree of corruption that exists in South Korea, no small number of my friends expressed their delight to see that there is a country that is capable of putting a corrupt leader in jail and making public his malfeasances. Read more of this post

Dire report from Incheon is Korea’s greatest achievement

The Most important thing to come out of Korea recently has nothing to do with North Korea!

 

A landmark report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change convened by the United Nations entitled “Global Warming of 1.5 C” was released in Songdo, Korea which presents a far more shocking vision for the immediate future than the corporate media was willing to acknowledge before. The report suggests that humanity faces catastrophic consequences of its carbon-centered economy and makes a clear break with the previous assumption that carbon trading schemes are sufficient to address the problem.

 

The report avoids much of the far more pessimistic predictions of many experts but goes further than any mainstream report so far.

 

Here is a summary:

 

 

This chapter frames the context, knowledge-base and assessment approaches used to understand the impacts of 1.5°C global warming above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, building on the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (AR5), in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change, sustainable development and efforts to eradicate poverty. Human-induced warming reached approximately 1°C (±0.2°C likely range) above pre-industrial levels in 2017, increasing at 0.2°C (±0.1°C) per decade (high confidence).

Global warming is defined in this report as an increase in combined surface air and sea surface temperatures averaged over the globe and a 30-year period. Unless otherwise specified, warming is expressed relative to the period 1850-1900, used as an approximation of pre-industrial temperatures in AR5. For periods shorter than 30 years, warming refers to the estimated average temperature over the 30 years centered on that shorter period, accounting for the impact of any temperature fluctuations or trend within those 30 years. Accordingly, warming up to the decade 2006-2015 is assessed at 0.87°C (±0.12°C likely range). Since 2000, the estimated level of human-induced warming has been equal to the level of observed warming with a likely range of ±20% accounting for uncertainty due to contributions from solar and volcanic activity over the historical period (high confidence). {1.2.1} Warming greater than the global average has already been experienced in many regions and seasons, with average warming over land higher than over the ocean (high confidence).

Most land regions are experiencing greater warming than the global average, while most ocean regions are warming at a slower rate. Depending on the temperature dataset considered, 20-40% of the global human population live in regions that, by the decade 2006-2015, had already experienced warming of more than 1.5°C above pre-industrial in at least one season (medium confidence). {1.2.1 & 1.2.2} Past emissions alone are unlikely to raise global-mean temperature to 1.5°C above preindustrial levels but past emissions do commit to other changes, such as further sea level rise (high confidence). If all anthropogenic emissions (including aerosol-related) were reduced to zero immediately, any further warming beyond the 1°C already experienced would likely be less than 0.5°C over the next two to three decades (high confidence), and likely less than 0.5°C on a century timescale (medium confidence), due to the opposing effects of different climate processes and drivers.

A warming greater than 1.5°C is therefore not geophysically unavoidable: whether it will occur depends on future rates of emission reductions. {1.2.3, 1.2.4} 1.5°C-consistent emission pathways are defined as those that, given current knowledge of the climate response, provide a one-in-two to two-in-three chance of warming either remaining below 1.5°C, or returning to 1.5°C by around 2100 following an overshoot. Overshoot pathways are characterized by the peak magnitude of the overshoot, which may have implications for impacts. All 1.5°C-consistent pathways involve limiting cumulative emissions of long-lived greenhouse gases, including carbon dioxide and nitrous oxide, and substantial reductions in other climate forcers (high confidence). Limiting cumulative emissions requires either reducing net global emissions of longlived greenhouse gases to zero before the cumulative limit is reached, or net negative global emissions (anthropogenic removals) after the limit is exceeded. {1.2.3, 1.2.4, Cross-Chapter Boxes 1 and 2}

This report assesses projected impacts at a global average warming of 1.5°C and higher levels of warming. Global warming of 1.5°C is associated with global average surface temperatures fluctuating naturally on either side of 1.5°C, together with warming substantially greater than 1.5°C in many regions and seasons (high confidence), all of which must be taken into account in the assessment of impacts. Impacts at 1.5°C of warming also depend on the emission pathway to 1.5°C. Very different impacts result from pathways that remain below 1.5°C versus pathways that return to Final Government Draft Chapter 1 IPCC SR1.5 Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 1-5 Total pages: 61 1.5°C after a substantial overshoot, and when temperatures stabilize at 1.5°C versus a transient warming past 1.5°C. (medium confidence) {1.2.3, 1.3} Ethical considerations, and the principle of equity in particular, are central to this report, recognising that many of the impacts of warming up to and beyond 1.5°C, and some potential impacts of mitigation actions required to limit warming to 1.5°C, fall disproportionately on the poor and vulnerable (high confidence).

Equity has procedural and distributive dimensions and requires fairness in burden sharing, between generations, and between and within nations. In framing the objective of holding the increase in the global average temperature rise to well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels, and to pursue efforts to limit warming to 1.5°C, the Paris Agreement associates the principle of equity with the broader goals of poverty eradication and sustainable development, recognising that effective responses to climate change require a global collective effort that may be guided by the 2015 United Nations Sustainable Development Goals. {1.1.1} Climate adaptation refers to the actions taken to manage impacts of climate change by reducing vulnerability and exposure to its harmful effects and exploiting any potential benefits. Adaptation takes place at international, national and local levels. Subnational jurisdictions and entities, including urban and rural municipalities, are key to developing and reinforcing measures for reducing weather- and climate-related risks. Adaptation implementation faces several barriers including unavailability of up-to-date and locally-relevant information, lack of finance and technology, social values and attitudes, and institutional constraints (high confidence).

Adaptation is more likely to contribute to sustainable development when polices align with mitigation and poverty eradication goals (medium confidence) {1.1, 1.4} Ambitious mitigation actions are indispensable to limit warming to 1.5°C while achieving sustainable development and poverty eradication (high confidence). Ill-designed responses, however, could pose challenges especially—but not exclusively—for countries and regions contending with poverty and those requiring significant transformation of their energy systems. This report focuses on ‘climate-resilient development pathways’ , which aim to meet the goals of sustainable development, including climate adaptation and mitigation, poverty eradication and reducing inequalities.

But any feasible pathway that remains within 1.5°C involves synergies and trade-offs (high confidence). Significant uncertainty remains as to which pathways are more consistent with the principle of equity. {1.1.1, 1.4} Multiple forms of knowledge, including scientific evidence, narrative scenarios and prospective pathways, inform the understanding of 1.5°C. This report is informed by traditional evidence of the physical climate system and associated impacts and vulnerabilities of climate change, together with knowledge drawn from the perceptions of risk and the experiences of climate impacts and governance systems. Scenarios and pathways are used to explore conditions enabling goal-oriented futures while recognizing the significance of ethical considerations, the principle of equity, and the societal transformation needed. {1.2.3, 1.5.2} There is no single answer to the question of whether it is feasible to limit warming to 1.5°C and adapt to the consequences. Feasibility is considered in this report as the capacity of a system as a whole to achieve a specific outcome.

The global transformation that would be needed to limit warming to 1.5°C requires enabling conditions that reflect the links, synergies and trade-offs between mitigation, adaptation and sustainable development. These enabling conditions have many systemic dimensions—geophysical, environmental-ecological, technological, economic, socio-cultural and institutional—that may be considered through the unifying lens of the Anthropocene, acknowledging profound, differential but increasingly geologically significant human influences on the Earth system as a whole. This framing also emphasises the global interconnectivity of past, present and future Final Government Draft Chapter 1 IPCC SR1.5 Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 1-6 Total pages: 61 human–environment relations, highlighing the need and opportunities for integrated responses to achieve the goals of the Paris Agreement. {1.1, Cross-Chapter Box 1}

“The paleontology of South Korean politics” Korea Times

Korea Times

“The paleontology of South Korean politics”

October 6, 2018

Emanuel Pastreich

 

The most remarkable moment in President Moon Jae-in’s visit to Pyongyang was his speech before 15 thousand North Korean citizens gathered in the massive May Day Stadium. The enthusiasm that radiated from this massive crowd was startling in its intensity and President Moon himself was visibly affected. Every word Moon uttered was highlighted and animated by the cheers of the audience, coming together, as Kim Il-sung once spoke, as if they were “one body.” You would never get that sort of a crowd, or anywhere near that sort of enthusiasm in South Korea for anything other than a concert by BTS or Big Bang.

You could see just how seductive for President Moon that level of enthusiasm in Pyongyang was, especially as the politics practiced in Seoul has degenerated into the empty ritual of bowing before those with power and money to receive their blessings or PR sessions in which one takes selfies with voters so as to demonstrate how accessible you are. Read more of this post

Moon and the opening of the green belts

The decision of the Moon administration to support the opening up of the “green belts” around Seoul to development by construction companies to provide housing suggests that we have ended up with the complete opposite of what the administration originally promised.

The Moon administration is taking the side of investment banks who are making a fortune out of keeping the price up housing high (even though there is a glut of housing still unabsorbed from the Lee Myung-bak era) in order to make sure that upper-middle-class employees of companies who put big money into their houses do not lose their shirts–and also to make sure that “housing retirement pensions” cooked up by investment banks do not lose their value.

John Feffer “Prospects for the Korean Peninsula in a rapidly shifting geopolitical environment” Seminar

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commons foundation

Seminar

“Prospects for the Korean Peninsula in a rapidly shifting geopolitical environment”

John Feffer

Director

Foreign Policy in Focus

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Thursday, November 1, 2018

6:30-8:30 PM

6th floor

Global Cyber University

You are invited to a talk by John Feffer, the director of Foreign Policy in Focus and a leading analyst of international relations in the United States. We will listen to John’s insights on current trends in Washington D.C. (and around the world) and their implications for the future of the Korean Peninsula. What will be the roles of the United States, Japan, China, and South Korea in the future of the Korean nation and the region of Northeast Asia?

 

Opening remarks by 

David Tizzard

Assistant Professor

Seoul Women’s University

 

Closing remarks by 

Emanuel Pastreich

Director of the Earth Management Institute

 

Support from

The Earth Management Institute

The Asia Institute

Commons Foundation

John Feffer

Bio

John Feffer is the director of Foreign Policy in Focus at the Institute for Policy Studies. He is a leading analyst on international relations with a focus on American foreign Policy.

He has written a book entitled “North Korea; South Korea” that addresses critical issues on the peninsula.

He is also the author of the recent dystopian novel, Splinterlands.

He is a senior associate at the Asia Institute in Seoul and has been both a Writing Fellow at Provisions Library in Washington, DC and a PanTech fellow in Korean Studies at Stanford University. He is a former associate editor of World Policy Journal. He has worked as an international affairs representative in Eastern Europe and East Asia for the American Friends Service Committee. He has also worked for the AFSC on such issues as the global economy, gun control, women and workplace, and domestic politics. He has served as a consultant for Foreign Policy in Focus, the Institute for Policy Studies, and the Friends Committee on National Legislation, among other organizations.

 

Location: 

글로벌사이버대학교 (서울캠퍼스 압구정로 32길 11 캘럴라인타원) 6층

6th floor, Caroline Tower, Apgujeong-ro 32 gil, 11, Gangnam-gu Seoul

 

MAP for Global Cyber University (Apgujeong Station)

 

 

map-global-cyber-university.png

 

贝一明 演讲 在 第八届亚洲食学论坛 (十月二十日)

贝一明 演讲

 

2018年 10月 20日 (星期六(下午两点)

“The Chinese concept of propriety (“li”) as the key to a sustainable agricultural future”

 

第八届亚洲食学论坛

 

“文化与文明:开拓餐桌新时代”

 

主办单位:世界中餐业联合会

亚洲食学论坛组委会

支持单位:北京市旅游发展委员会

北京市商务委员会

 

亚洲食学论坛(Asian Food Study Conference)是由中国食学家与国际同仁联袂发起,旨在研究环球视野下食生产、食生活重大问题与探索人类未来饮食文化发展趋势的高端学术论坛。其学术性强、影响范围大、主题层次丰富,已先后在中国杭州、泰国曼谷、中国绍兴、中国西安、中国曲阜、日本京都、韩国首尔成功举办七届。

第八届亚洲食学论坛由世界中餐业联合会主办,将深度挖掘餐饮行业资源,从产、学、研、管四个角度,凝聚来自全球食学领域专家齐聚北京,深度探讨紧密关乎现时代食生产、食生活要点,前瞻人类餐桌发展趋势重大问题。

地址:

 

北京西国贸大酒店

北京市丰台区丰管路16号8号楼

 

 

Reo Hamel

Reo Hamel was an elderly man who had taken up a side business of career consulting. I was introduced to him through my classmate Glenn Gutmacher back in 2010 when I decided I would try to find some sort of employment in the United States. I met Reo only once, but he made tremendous efforts on my behalf. He taught me how to think about how I was perceived by others and to identify effectively what institutions are looking for.

He passed away around 2014, but I remember his kindness from time to time even these days. In a sense, his role in my life was short and quite limited. But I think he deeply touched me, and he refused to take payment for his help after the first two months.

 

On Tue, Jan 25, 2011 at 5:33 AM Reo Hamel Associates <reo@reohamel.com> wrote:

Hi Emanuel,
Hope this isn’t too late to wish you a safe and comfortable trip. I look forward to meeting you in person on Feb. 1st around 8:30am.
Best wishes,
Reo

Cause for economic sanctions

“My neighbor’s dog keeps barking late at night. Maybe I should consider economic sanctions.”

 

 

Emanuel Pastreich

September 22, 2018

 

亚洲研究所与孔子学院,庆熙网络大学开洪陵沙龙: “东亚圈的老龄化与低生育问题”研讨会

亚洲研究所与孔子学院,庆熙网络大学,九月十九日开洪陵沙龙的研讨会。这次主题是“东亚圈的老龄化与低生育问题” 有中韩各专业的年轻人跟教授来参加及活泼的讨论。

WeChat Image_20180920215533

 

WeChat Image_20180920215417